Ferrari Mailing List: [NFC] Re: COVID-19: State-by-State PROJECTIONS

[Martin Stark (mstark]

Here's a good exposition of the primary Covid-19 predictive model and its influence on government preparedness. https://www.wired.com/story/the-mathematics-of-predicting-the-course-of-the-coronavirus/

The intriguing study is the one that applied a model retrospectively to estimate the number of undiagnosed cases.
 

On 3/31/2020 8:50 AM, Clarence Romero Jr. wrote:

Good data for state by state 

Subject: COVID-19: State-by-State PROJECTIONS



COVID-19: State-by-State PROJECTIONS

Data presented from The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). An independent global health research center at the University of Washington.

"Dr. Birx discussed the Federal modeling, using newest data and best assumptions; lots of models averaged.  All the best stuff.  They won't release the Federal modeling, but she referred to this website as being in very close agreement with Federal conclusions."

To display the projected trends and peak of COVID-19 in your state, select your STATE from the green drop-down menu (default is ‘United States of America’)

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

(displayed graphs are interactive. Tap/click for detailed data points)

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